AI projects ROI calculation

Impact Metrics

The Impact Metrics of the artificial intelligence solution to be implemented

Impact metrics are the way to measure how the implementation of an AI solution improves the outcome of a task within a business process.


Each task within a process can have Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) related to Efficacy and/or in terms of Efficiency.
    • Efficacy KPIs measure the quality (e.g. number of failures per period) or the scope of the task result (number of repeat customers in a period).
    • Efficiency KPIs measure the effort required to achieve a certain level of Efficacy in the result. Continuing with our examples, they could be savings in the quality control budget needed to achieve X number of failures; or savings in commercial human resources to maintain the customers' repeat purchase rate.

The Task Outcome Unit is the value of the metric at two different points in time, before implementing the IA solution and after implementing the IA solution. In our example, the number of repeat customers before the implementation of the solution was, for example, 100, while after the implementation it becomes 150 for the same time period.

The Tasks Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Below you can find some definitions of KPIs:
"A quantifiable measure used to evaluate the success of an organization, employee, etc. in meeting objectives for performance."- Oxford's Dictionary
"A set of quantifiable measurements used to gauge a company’s overall long-term performance."- Investopedia


KPI, or key performance indicators, are measurable values used to evaluate how successful a person or organization is in reaching a target. You can have high-level KPIs that look at the performance of your business, or KPIs that drill down into processes at the individual or departmental level, too.

According to the above, the KPIs that we will use to measure the impact of the IA solution when applied to a specific task is Low-Level KPIs. Every process has a goal, every task within the process has its own and specific objective (maybe a set of them). The Task KPI is the primary measure of the task performance, the metric that allows us to know how effective and efficient its execution is in a given period.

KPIs and Metrics

Within a task, there can be different metrics that measure partial aspects of the performance of the task. When we talk about the KPI of the task, we refer to that measure that tells us exactly where we are concerning the main objective of that activity.


Let´s see an example:
   





The Task Outcome Unit

As we stated before, the Task Outcome Unit is the value of the metric at two different points in time, before implementing the AI solution and after implementing the AI solution.

Sometimes metrics are expressed in percentages. In order for us to calculate the return on an investment in AI, we need to express the improvement in the metric's Task Outcome Unit in a number that can be converted into a euro value of the improvement. In our example above, going from a result of 100 repeat customers to 150, thanks to the AI solution, implies a 50% improvement in the "repeat purchase" metric. In order to use this data in the return calculation, we will have to multiply another metric, the "average purchase per period", let's say a value of €1,000, by the number of new recurring customers, 50.

If it were an Efficiency metric, we would have a similar case. Let's suppose that to achieve a recurring purchase of 10% of our 2,000 customers per year, we need the work of three salespeople. Let's also assume that using a robotic assistant AI solution for the purchase we achieve the same result with only one salesperson. To calculate the improvement in the Task Result Unit, we will have to take into account the average cost of one salesperson per year, e.g. €30,000, and by saving two with the AI solution, the improvement is €60,000.

Reflective Question

In your opinion, what is going to impact stronger, on employment across sectors in a negative manner:
    • Efficacy contributions of AI solutions to improve business processes
    • Efficiency contributions of AI solutions to improve business processes

Please, comment with your answer.

Exercises

Exercise: Multiple choice

Watch this video about EFFICACY and EFFICIENCY and answer the questions!

Which is the right order?

If we want to improve the outcome of a process consistently, it is first necessary to ensure that we solve it correctly and get what we need. Then it is time to improve the quality of what we achieve, which means the efficacy level of the problem solution or process management.

Finally, when the possibility of improving effectiveness is zero or very low, it is time to optimise by enhancing efficiency, i.e. the relationship between the resources used and the results obtained.

Exercise: Drag & Drop

Associate the KPIs to each KPI type

Stability of the oil temperature in a frier machine
Failures per minute
Time to market in product development
Bags per minute in packaging machine
Time spent fixing IT category support ticket
Customer acceptance in product launch process
Scrap percentage in a manufacturing line
Accuracy in millimetres in cutting process
Efficacy KPIs
Efficiency KPIs
When the KPI affects the process's efficiency, it improves the ratio between resources used in the process and the amount of output obtained (bags per minute that the packaging machine can produce).

When the KPI affects the efficacy, it means that we do not get more quantity of output (we get the same bags closed per minute), but what improves is the quality of the output (ratio of bags without leakage within the number of bags closed per minute).

Some solutions can affect both components of the process output, effectiveness and efficiency, which means that, while increasing the number of bags closed per minute, we get fewer bags that are not closed properly.
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The European Commission's support for the production of this publication does not constitute an endorsement of the contents, which reflect the views only of the authors, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein.
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